The numbers, not the noise.

What years of tennis prices and results actually show, measured on our own database, with the method under every article.

Markets · 30 Oct 2026 · 3 min read

Tennis odds are more accurate than you think

We checked 28,563 ATP & WTA matches. The odds are almost perfectly accurate — so the money isn’t in the pick, it’s in the price you take.

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Chart: across 28,563 ATP and WTA matches, the chance the odds imply closely matches how often players actually won. The same match is priced about 3.5% apart across bookmakers.

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